Chinese ADRs & ETFs rally as wall street banks predict biggest China rate cuts in a decade.
Alibaba and JD.com jumped over 2% and YINN jumped 5%.
China’s central bank will deliver the biggest interest-rate cuts in a decade next year as policymakers intensify efforts to shore up growth and arrest deflation, in the view of a number of Wall Street banks.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley are among those projecting cuts of 40 basis points to the People’s Bank of China’s main policy rate in 2025. That would be the largest reduction in a calendar year since 2015, taking the seven-day reverse repo rate down to 1.1%. The median forecast in Bloomberg’s most recent survey was for 30 basis points of cuts.
While the scale is far short of what’s typical at central banks in most other major economies, the PBOC has reason to be wary. Lower rates would compress banks’ already record-low net interest margins — leaving them with less cushion for losses amid a continuing property slump. In any case, few analysts think that monetary policy alone has the power to stoke the economy at a time of subdued demand for credit.
免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。