The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. Investors in Gallant Venture Ltd. (SGX:5IG) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 49%. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 21%. We note that it has not been easy for shareholders over three years, either; the share price is down 47% in that time. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 24% in thirty days.
After losing 13% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
SGX:5IG
The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. Investors in Gallant Venture Ltd. (SGX:5IG) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 49%. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 21%. We note that it has not been easy for shareholders over three years, either; the share price is down 47% in that time. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 24% in thirty days.
After losing 13% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
Because Gallant Venture made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
Gallant Venture grew its revenue by 5.0% over the last year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. Given this lacklustre revenue growth, the share price drop of 49% seems pretty appropriate. In a hot market it's easy to forget growth is the life-blood of a loss making company. But if you buy a loss making company then you could become a loss making investor.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
Investors in Gallant Venture had a tough year, with a total loss of 49%, against a market gain of about 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too.
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