Selling EUR/JPY an Attractive Risk Before France Polls, Says BNP Paribas

MT Newswires Live
2024-06-17

EUR/JPY remains overvalued near its recent multi-decade highs, which is part of what makes it an attractive short ahead of the French general election, BNP Paribas strategists believe.

In Monday's European mid-afternoon trading, EUR/JPY was last quoted at 169.0960.

"With EUR/JPY trading just below the highest levels of the cycle, we think the risk reward to short the cross is attractive," the strategists wrote in a Monday note to clients.

"While most EUR crosses now trade at a discount to BNP Paribas STEER fair value, weak levels of the JPY mean that the EUR/JPY cross trades at a premium to fair value," they added.

Factors that could lead to losses for EUR/JPY over the coming weeks include signs of a faster slowdown in US economic growth, and a further rise in the political risk premium embedded in the euro, they said.

BNP's French election risk premium indicator has risen to 37 in the last week, close to its maximum value of 50, but the strategy team says there's still room for bets against the euro to grow ahead of the French ballot on June 30 and July 7.

The bank advocated selling EUR/JPY with a stop-loss at 173.0 and a target of 157.0.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10