When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may consider Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (HKG:981) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 32.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Semiconductor Manufacturing International's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Semiconductor Manufacturing International
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Semiconductor Manufacturing International's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 66% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 64% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 29% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Semiconductor Manufacturing International is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Semiconductor Manufacturing International's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Semiconductor Manufacturing International has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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