With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.8x Dongyue Group Limited (HKG:189) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Dongyue Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Dongyue Group
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Dongyue Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 67% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 11% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 55% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Dongyue Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Dongyue Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Dongyue Group you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Dongyue Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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