While Aris Water Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:ARIS) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NYSE over the last few months. The company is inching closer to its yearly highs following the recent share price climb. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Aris Water Solutions’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
View our latest analysis for Aris Water Solutions
According to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that Aris Water Solutions’s ratio of 23.39x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 26.19x, which means if you buy Aris Water Solutions today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe that Aris Water Solutions should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Aris Water Solutions’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Aris Water Solutions' earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ARIS’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at ARIS? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ARIS, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for ARIS, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Aris Water Solutions, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Aris Water Solutions (1 is significant!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.
If you are no longer interested in Aris Water Solutions, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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