CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE:CXW), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. Shareholders may appreciate the recent price jump, but the company still has a way to go before reaching its yearly highs again. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on CoreCivic’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for CoreCivic
Good news, investors! CoreCivic is still a bargain right now. Our valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $22.76, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. CoreCivic’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected next year, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for CoreCivic, at least in the near future.
Are you a shareholder? Although CXW is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to CXW, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CXW for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
If you'd like to know more about CoreCivic as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that CoreCivic is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored...
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