With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.5x CDW Corporation (NASDAQ:CDW) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been pleasing for CDW as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for CDW
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as CDW's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.7%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 25% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.2% each year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that CDW's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of CDW's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for CDW that you need to take into consideration.
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