Cardlytics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CDLX) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 69% share price decline over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Cardlytics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Media industry is similar at about 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Cardlytics
Recent revenue growth for Cardlytics has been in line with the industry. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre revenue performance to persist, which has held the P/S ratio back. Those who are bullish on Cardlytics will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
Keen to find out how analysts think Cardlytics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Cardlytics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.1% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 36% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.4% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 4.9% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why Cardlytics is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
Cardlytics' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've seen that Cardlytics maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Cardlytics you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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