To the annoyance of some shareholders, agilon health, inc. (NYSE:AGL) shares are down a considerable 43% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 84% loss during that time.
After such a large drop in price, it would be understandable if you think agilon health is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have P/S ratios above 1.1x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for agilon health
agilon health certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think agilon health's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like agilon health's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 54%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 231% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 21% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.2% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it odd that agilon health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
agilon health's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
A look at agilon health's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
Having said that, be aware agilon health is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
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