When close to half the companies in Singapore have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may consider Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited (SGX:C07) as an attractive investment with its 7.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Jardine Cycle & Carriage has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Jardine Cycle & Carriage's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 126% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 2.6% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jardine Cycle & Carriage's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Jardine Cycle & Carriage maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jardine Cycle & Carriage you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jardine Cycle & Carriage, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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