RumbleOn, Inc. (NASDAQ:RMBL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.0% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that RumbleOn's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for RumbleOn
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, RumbleOn's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think RumbleOn's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like RumbleOn's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.8%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 122% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.1% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 5.4% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why RumbleOn is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
RumbleOn's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
A RumbleOn's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Specialty Retail industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with RumbleOn (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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