It's been a soft week for Appen Limited (ASX:APX) shares, which are down 16%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been very strong. During that period, the share price soared a full 136%. So it may be that the share price is simply cooling off after a strong rise. More important, going forward, is how the business itself is going.
Although Appen has shed AU$115m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Appen
Appen isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
In the last year Appen saw its revenue shrink by 28%. We're a little surprised to see the share price pop 136% in the last year. This is a good example of how buyers can push up prices even before the fundamental metrics show much growth. It's quite likely the revenue fall was already priced in, anyway.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
If you are thinking of buying or selling Appen stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
We've already covered Appen's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Appen shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 159%, over the last 1 year, is better than the share price return.
It's nice to see that Appen shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 159% over the last year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 14% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Appen is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
But note: Appen may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.
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