To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Travel + Leisure is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = US$749m ÷ (US$6.7b - US$1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Travel + Leisure has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Hospitality industry average of 8.5% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for Travel + Leisure
In the above chart we have measured Travel + Leisure's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Travel + Leisure for free.
Over the past five years, Travel + Leisure's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Travel + Leisure to be a multi-bagger going forward.
We can conclude that in regards to Travel + Leisure's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Since the stock has gained an impressive 42% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Travel + Leisure (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Discover if Travel + Leisure might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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