Nov 27 (Reuters) - USD/JPY fell out of its recent 153.28-156.76 range in place since mid-November, trading down to 152.13 on Wednesday. The prognosis is for further moves lower through some key supports and maybe to 150.
The initial target for speculators seems to be the gradually ascending 200-day moving average at 152.00. A break below this level projects tests towards the lows of 151.30 on Nov 6 and 151.04 on Oct 23.
A break below these levels and 151.00 will put a bull's eye on massive, December option expiries at the 150.00 strike. Massive expiries are noted at the 140.00 strike too in December, but these may be out of the market's range for now.
With U.S. yields soft again into a likely U.S. Federal Reserve 25-basis-point rate cut and JGB yields chugging higher on an expected 25 bp Bank of Japan rate hike in December, any USD/JPY retracements higher will likely be thwarted.
JPY has also been the sporadic beneficiary of recent flight-to-quality flows, especially on the JPY crosses. Lower crude oil and commodity prices are also seen as a plus for import-dependent Japan.
Previous comments , , . For more click on
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ USD/JPY: Yield on JGB 2s:
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own. Editing by Sonali Desai)
((haruya.ida@thomsonreuters.com;))
免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。