Middleby trades at $141.72 per share and has stayed right on track with the overall market, gaining 12.6% over the last six months. At the same time, the S&P 500 has returned 13.5%.
Is now the time to buy Middleby, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.We're swiping left on Middleby for now. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than MIDD and a stock we'd rather own.
Holding a Guinness World Record for creating the world’s fastest conveyor pizza oven, Middleby (NYSE:MIDD) is a food service and equipment manufacturer.
Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Regrettably, Middleby’s sales grew at a tepid 5.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This was below our standard for the industrials sector.
In addition to reported revenue, organic revenue is a useful data point for analyzing Professional Tools and Equipment companies. This metric gives visibility into Middleby’s core business because it excludes one-time events such as mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures along with foreign currency fluctuations - non-fundamental factors that can manipulate the income statement.
Over the last two years, Middleby’s organic revenue averaged 2% year-on-year declines. This performance was underwhelming and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy. It also suggests Middleby might have to lean into acquisitions to grow, which isn’t ideal because M&A can be expensive and risky (integrations often disrupt focus).
We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.
Middleby’s unimpressive 6% annual EPS growth over the last five years aligns with its revenue performance. This tells us it maintained its per-share profitability as it expanded.
Middleby isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. That said, the stock currently trades at 13.7× forward price-to-earnings (or $141.72 per share). This valuation is reasonable, but the company’s shakier fundamentals present too much downside risk. We're fairly confident there are better investments elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at Yum! Brands, an all-weather company that owns household favorite Taco Bell.
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