There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at IDEX (NYSE:IEX) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for IDEX, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = US$698m ÷ (US$7.0b - US$565m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, IDEX has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Machinery industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for IDEX
Above you can see how the current ROCE for IDEX compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for IDEX .
When we looked at the ROCE trend at IDEX, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 18% over the last five years. However it looks like IDEX might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
To conclude, we've found that IDEX is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has gained an impressive 45% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
IDEX could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for IEX on our platform quite valuable.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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