Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. (NYSE:BBW) defied analyst predictions to release its quarterly results, which were ahead of market expectations. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 5.3% to hit US$119m. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$0.73, some 5.0% above whatthe analysts had expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
View our latest analysis for Build-A-Bear Workshop
Following the latest results, Build-A-Bear Workshop's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$506.3m in 2026. This would be a satisfactory 2.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$3.93, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$506.1m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.93 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
With the analysts reconfirming their revenue and earnings forecasts, it's surprising to see that the price target rose 37% to US$54.33. It looks as though they previously had some doubts over whether the business would live up to their expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Build-A-Bear Workshop analyst has a price target of US$58.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$50.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Build-A-Bear Workshop is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that Build-A-Bear Workshop's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.8% annualised growth rate until the end of 2026 being well below the historical 12% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.7% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Build-A-Bear Workshop.
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Build-A-Bear Workshop. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Build-A-Bear Workshop going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Build-A-Bear Workshop .
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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