大華銀行：日本央行加息尚未結束，但下次加息的時機似乎更晚

市場資訊

2024-12-19

格隆匯12月19日｜大華銀行經濟學家Alvin Liew表示，日本央行還沒有結束加息，但現在預計加息的時機將受到明年工資增長情況和特朗普政策明確性的影響。這意味着1月份加息的可能性雖然沒有完全排除，但現在看來是一個低概率事件。雖然政策聲明和行長植田和男的新聞發佈會都沒有給出前瞻性指導，但植田和男強調，日本2025年的工資上漲情況和特朗普的政策考慮是下一個決定的關鍵。大華銀行預計日本央行將在3月加息25個基點至0.5%，該行認爲這將是最終利率。但加息被推遲到4月或更晚時間的風險很大。

海量資訊、精準解讀，盡在新浪財經APP

責任編輯：郭明煜

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Liew表示，日本央行還沒有結束加息，但現在預計加息的時機將受到明年工資增長情況和特朗普政策明確性的影響。這意味着1月份加息的可能性雖然沒有完全排除，但現在看來是一個低概率事件。雖然政策聲明和行長植田和男的新聞發佈會都沒有給出前瞻性指導，但植田和男強調，日本2025年的工資上漲情況和特朗普的政策考慮是下一個決定的關鍵。大華銀行預計日本央行將在3月加息25個基點至0.5%，該行認爲這將是最終利率。但加息被推遲到4月或更晚時間的風險很大。</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量資訊、精準解讀，盡在新浪財經APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>責任編輯：郭明煜 </p>\n</div>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n<p> 來源：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2024-12-19/doc-inczyxct6801628.shtml\">市場資訊</a></p>\n<p>為提升您的閱讀體驗，我們對本頁面進行了排版優化</p>\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1242518931.SGD","symbol_name":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc 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