REV Group, Inc. (NYSE:REVG) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of January to $0.06. This takes the annual payment to 0.8% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.
View our latest analysis for REV Group
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Before making this announcement, REV Group was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 14.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 79%, which is definitely on the higher side.
Looking back, REV Group's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.20 in 2016 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.24. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 2.3% over that duration. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that REV Group has grown earnings per share at 77% per year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.
Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that REV Group is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for REV Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is REV Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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