The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ:DJT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Trump Media & Technology Group
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Trump Media & Technology Group had US$9.43m of debt in September 2024, down from US$43.9m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$672.9m in cash, so it actually has US$663.4m net cash.
According to the last reported balance sheet, Trump Media & Technology Group had liabilities of US$14.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$6.86m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$672.9m in cash and US$14.8k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$651.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Trump Media & Technology Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Trump Media & Technology Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Trump Media & Technology Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Trump Media & Technology Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$3.4m, which is a fall of 27%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And we do note that Trump Media & Technology Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$64m and booked a US$372m accounting loss. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of US$663.4m. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with Trump Media & Technology Group (at least 3 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Discover if Trump Media & Technology Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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