Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers. So we wouldn't blame long term First Resources Limited (SGX:EB5) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 20% over a half decade.

After losing 3.4% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

See our latest analysis for First Resources

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, First Resources actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 16% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

It is unusual to see such modest share price growth in the face of sustained EPS improvements. We can look to other metrics to try to understand the situation better.

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SGX:EB5 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 8th 2025

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, First Resources' TSR for the last 5 years was 1.5%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

First Resources shareholders are up 4.4% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 0.3% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand First Resources better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for First Resources that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.