Two factors often determine stock prices in the long run: earnings and interest rates. Investors can't control the latter, but they can focus on a company's earnings results every quarter.

The earnings figure itself is key, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb even higher.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate. The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction.

The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. TC Energy (TRP) earns a Zacks Rank #3 14 days from its next quarterly earnings release on February 14, 2025, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $0.67 a share.

By taking the percentage difference between the $0.67 Most Accurate Estimate and the $0.66 Zacks Consensus Estimate, TC Energy has an Earnings ESP of 2.51%.

TRP is just one of a large group of Oils-Energy stocks with a positive ESP figure. NextEra Energy Partners (NEP) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.

NextEra Energy Partners is a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) stock, and is getting ready to report earnings on April 22, 2025. NEP's Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.26 a share 81 days from its next earnings release.

NextEra Energy Partners' Earnings ESP figure currently stands at 793.33% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of -$0.04.

TRP and NEP's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

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TC Energy Corporation (TRP) : Free Stock Analysis Report

NextEra Energy Partners, LP (NEP) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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