What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Tower Semiconductor (NASDAQ:TSEM) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Tower Semiconductor, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.066 = US$184m ÷ (US$3.1b - US$295m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Tower Semiconductor has an ROCE of 6.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Semiconductor industry average of 8.6%.
View our latest analysis for Tower Semiconductor
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Tower Semiconductor compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Tower Semiconductor for free.
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Tower Semiconductor in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 6.6% and the business has deployed 66% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
In conclusion, Tower Semiconductor has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 102% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Like most companies, Tower Semiconductor does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Tower Semiconductor isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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