If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Rockwell Automation (NYSE:ROK) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Rockwell Automation, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.17 = US$1.3b ÷ (US$11b - US$3.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Rockwell Automation has an ROCE of 17%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 11% generated by the Electrical industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Rockwell Automation
In the above chart we have measured Rockwell Automation's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Rockwell Automation .
In terms of Rockwell Automation's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 33%, but since then they've fallen to 17%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
To conclude, we've found that Rockwell Automation is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 49% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Rockwell Automation that you might find interesting.
While Rockwell Automation isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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