Release Date: January 31, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Q: Can you speak to your confidence in sustaining the improved delinquency trends and explain the factors that could lead to the high or low end of your charge-off guidance for the year? A: Jenny Osterhout, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, explained that they are pleased with the improvement in delinquency trends and expect lower losses to drive improved earnings. The guidance range depends on the pace of the back book rolling off, delinquency trends, roll rates to loss, growth in originations, and macroeconomic conditions.
Q: Could you provide more color on the expected modest improvement in portfolio yield for 2025? A: Jenny Osterhout noted that they expect modest improvement from the fourth quarter run rate of 22.2% on consumer loan yield. Improvements are due to pricing actions in personal and auto loans, but are partially offset by credit and growth in lower yield auto business. The rate of improvement will depend on product mix.
Q: How are roll rates from delinquency to charge-off performing, given the inflationary environment? A: Jenny Osterhout stated that roll rates are performing well, with trends in line or slightly better than typical expectations. Douglas Shulman added that improvements are due to active management and better credit customers, despite cumulative inflation remaining high.
Q: Can you discuss the impact of product mix on CECL reserves and where you expect reserve levels to go? A: Jenny Osterhout explained that as credit metrics improve, consumer loan reserves should gradually decrease. The macroeconomic environment and product mix, including the growing card portfolio, will influence reserve levels. They expect reserves to potentially decrease by about 50 basis points over time.
Q: What is OneMain's view on originating loans for private capital versus its balance sheet? A: Jenny Osterhout stated that they view forward flow arrangements as additive rather than necessary, given their strong access to public markets. They selectively expanded their whole loan sale program to $900 million annually, seeing it as an opportunity to diversify funding sources while maintaining discipline in pricing and economic trade-offs.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
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