ConocoPhillips Q4 Earnings: EPS of $1.90 Beats Estimates, Strong Operational Performance Highlighted

GuruFocus
02-06

On February 6, 2025, ConocoPhillips (COP, Financial) released its 8-K filing detailing its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results. The company, a leading independent exploration and production firm, reported a fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $1.90, surpassing the analyst estimate of $1.88. Adjusted EPS stood at $1.98, also exceeding expectations. ConocoPhillips operates primarily in the United States, Norway, and several countries in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East, with proven reserves of 6.8 billion barrels of oil equivalent at the end of 2023.

Performance and Challenges

ConocoPhillips reported fourth-quarter 2024 earnings of $2.3 billion, a decrease from $3.0 billion in the same period of 2023. The decline was attributed to nonrecurring acquisition-related expenses, lower prices, and higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A). Despite these challenges, the company's production increased by 281 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOED) compared to the previous year, highlighting its operational strength.

Financial Achievements

The acquisition of Marathon Oil significantly bolstered ConocoPhillips' inventory, enhancing its U.S. unconventional position. The company achieved a preliminary reserve replacement ratio of 244% and an organic reserve replacement ratio of 123%, underscoring its robust resource base. These achievements are crucial for sustaining long-term growth in the volatile oil and gas industry.

Key Financial Metrics

ConocoPhillips generated cash from operations (CFO) of $20.3 billion for the full year 2024, with $5.4 billion in the fourth quarter alone. The company ended the year with $6.4 billion in cash and short-term investments. The return on capital employed (ROCE) was 14%, while the cash-adjusted ROCE stood at 15%, reflecting efficient capital utilization.

Metric Q4 2024 Q4 2023 2024 FY 2023 FY
Earnings (Billion $) 2.3 3.0 9.2 11.0
Adjusted Earnings (Billion $) 2.4 2.9 9.2 10.6
EPS ($) 1.90 2.52 7.81 9.06
Adjusted EPS ($) 1.98 2.40 7.79 8.77

Analysis and Outlook

ConocoPhillips' strategic acquisition of Marathon Oil and its focus on high-quality, low-cost supply inventory have positioned it well for future growth. The company plans a $10 billion return of capital to shareholders in 2025, reflecting confidence in its financial health. However, challenges such as fluctuating commodity prices and integration-related expenses remain. The company's guidance for 2025 includes capital expenditures of approximately $12.9 billion and production between 2.34 to 2.38 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.

“ConocoPhillips continued to deliver on our returns-focused value proposition in 2024, demonstrating strong operational execution, returning $9.1 billion to shareholders and enhancing our portfolio with the acquisition of Marathon Oil,” said Ryan Lance, chairman and chief executive officer.

ConocoPhillips' ability to navigate market challenges while maintaining strong financial performance makes it a compelling consideration for value investors. The company's strategic initiatives and robust reserve base provide a solid foundation for future growth in the dynamic oil and gas sector.

Explore the complete 8-K earnings release (here) from ConocoPhillips for further details.

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