MW Do you have too much of your money invested in the stock market?
By Philip van Doorn
Also: A big warning for Tesla's shareholders, Roth IRA timing and companies that are likely takeover targets
Over the years, you may have seen advice in the financial media about the "60/40 portfolio," which consists of 60% stocks and 40% bonds. This type of portfolio can be put together without too much trouble through the use of mutual funds or exchange-traded funds.
But the strong performance for U.S. stocks over the past 15 years, along with low interest rates, has led some investors to build retirement nest eggs that are 100% allocated toward stocks. Conventional wisdom is to reduce your allocation to stocks and increase your exposure to bonds as you get closer to retirement, in order to reduce risk and lean more toward income generation.
This week Quentin Fottrell - the Moneyist - answered a question from a woman in her 50s who is semiretired and, with her husband, is 85% invested in stocks. She wonders if their investment portfolio allocation is too aggressive for the next 10 years.
The Moneyist also helps readers facing difficult family conflicts over money:
-- My son's father died, but his stepmother won't return his calls. We don't even know if there is a will. What now?
-- My husband secretly gives my daughter, 37, thousands of dollars. She spends the money wildly. How do I stop this?
-- My friend, 62, may only have weeks to live. How does he prevent his second wife from inheriting everything?
An alarm bell for Tesla - and its shareholders
Steve Goldstein highlighted a shocking set of numbers for Tesla Inc.'s $(TSLA)$ vehicle sales in Germany. Then he looked into the company's sales volume in China.
Too late for a Roth IRA?
This week in the Help Me Retire column, Alessandra Malito answered a complicated question from a MarketWatch reader who wondered if it might be too late for her to benefit from contributing to a Roth IRA. The answer encompasses her age, her husband's age, tax implications and decisions on when to withdraw from retirement accounts.
More: I'm 67 and plan to work for five more years. I was told to claim Social Security now. Should I?
A housing and retirement quandary
Beth Pinsker writes the Fix My Portfolio column. This week she helped a reader with a difficult set of problems - she is 70 and thinks she cannot retire because of a mortgage loan. This is how she can reorganize her finances.
Beth also addressed a different type of retirement problem, working with Andrew Keshner, Jessica Hall and Venessa Wong to answer the question of why retirement buyout offers - such as the one being pushed for federal workers by President Donald Trump - are such a hard sell.
The stock market is still hot - even the Magnificent Seven
Here are some investment performance figures (with dividends reinvested) through Thursday for the Magnificent Seven group of stocks, which make up nearly a third of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY. Returns for the ETF are at the bottom of the table:
Company Ticker 2025 return through Feb. 6 2024 return 2023 return 2022 return Apple Inc. AAPL -5.8% 31% 49% -26% Nvidia Corp. NVDA -4.2% 171% 239% -50% Microsoft Corp. MSFT -1.5% 13% 58% -28% Amazon.com Inc. AMZN 8.3% 44% 81% -50% Alphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL 7.8% 36% 58% -39% Meta Platforms Inc. Class A META 17.7% 66% 194% -64% Tesla Inc. TSLA 0.2% 63% 102% -65% SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY 3.5% 25% 26% -18% Source: FactSet
This year's performance for the Magnificent Seven group has been mixed, with Apple $(AAPL)$ the worst performer, followed by Nvidia $(NVDA)$. But Joe Adinolfi reported that individual investors have been very enthusiastic about Big Tech stocks this week.
Related: The valuation gap between Big Tech and the S&P 500 has narrowed
On the other hand: This stock fund is fully diversified from the S&P 500 - and pays high dividends
An Apple-related setback
Shares of Skyworks Solutions Inc. $(SWKS)$ fell 21.5% on Thursday, after the maker of connectivity components said that it expected to have a lower "content position" in new equipment being made by its largest customer, which it didn't name. That customer is understood to be Apple. Emily Bary explained the implications of the announcement, including the timing of its expected effect on Skyworks' revenue and earnings.
Therese Poletti: Apple escaped tariffs last time. This time, it may have to raise prices.
DeepSeek fallout
Long ago, on Jan. 27, shares of Nvidia declined 17% after reports that Chinese company DeekSeek had developed competitive artificial-intelligence technology for far less money than the competing ChatGPT had spent. Despite that day's volatility, the S&P 500 SPX was down only slightly from Jan. 24 through Thursday.
So what's next? Joy Wiltermuth interviewed managers of large stock portfolios, who explained how they expected the DeepSeek news to affect the Magnificent Seven and a broader set of companies.
More on the DeepSeek reaction:
-- Nvidia, Caterpillar and other winners and losers from DeepSeek's emergence, according to JPMorgan
-- Project Syndicate: How DeepSeek could spur Big Tech to double down on AI dominance
Takeout targets in the stock market
This could turn out to be quite a year for corporate mergers and acquisitions, because of declining interest rates and what is expected to be a more favorable environment for regulatory approval of merger deals under the second Trump administration. Michael Brush named five companies that seem likely to be acquired and offered tips to investors on how to trade affected stocks.
A 'worrying' housing trend
Banks have reported that these are happy times for loan quality overall. But Aarthi Swaminathan reported on a spike in borrowers with mortgage-loan payments that are late by three months or more.
More housing market coverage:
-- Lower mortgage rates draw homeowners in - but keep home buyers out
-- Buying a house amid the trade war? Here's what to expect from mortgage rates.
Which Super Bowl winner would be better for the stock market?
Weston Blasi covered money angles related to the big game:
-- Here's how much money NFL stars Patrick Mahomes, Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts can make in Super Bowl bonuses
-- Americans will bet a record $1.39 billion on Super Bowl LIX
-- Why this DraftKings bet might be better than wagering on a Travis Kelce Super Bowl touchdown
-- Taylor Swift has made the NFL almost $1 billion since she started dating Travis Kelce
And in case you missed this story last week, take a look at Mark Hulbert's analysis of "the infamous Super Bowl Predictor" for subsequent stock-market performance, and his explanation of how it relates to human nature and the fallacies that can lead to investment mistakes.
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-Philip van Doorn
This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.
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February 07, 2025 14:14 ET (19:14 GMT)
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