When close to half the companies in the Electrical industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Bloom Energy Corporation (NYSE:BE) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Bloom Energy
Bloom Energy could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Bloom Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Bloom Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 43% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 26% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 24% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Bloom Energy's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Given Bloom Energy's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Bloom Energy has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Bloom Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Discover if Bloom Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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