SiteOne Expects Low Single-Digit Organic Daily Sales Growth In 2025 As Volume Gains Outweigh Price Deflation And Sees Adjusted EBITDA Of $400M-$430M

Benzinga
02-12

Outlook

"As we enter 2025, there is much uncertainty with interest rates, potential tariffs, and labor supply that could affect our markets. Against this backdrop, we expect commodity price deflation to continue moderating in 2025 with declines in products like PVC pipe mitigated by increases across our other products. Overall, we expect pricing to be flat to slightly down for the full year 2025," Doug Black continued. "In terms of end markets, we expect overall demand to be flat to slightly up with modest growth in maintenance and resilient demand in repair and upgrade, new residential, and new commercial construction. With the benefit of our commercial initiatives, we expect sales volume to more than offset price deflation, yielding low single-digit Organic Daily Sales growth for the full year. With the strong actions taken in 2024 to reduce cost combined with our continued operational initiatives, ongoing SG&A management, and contributions from acquisitions, we expect to increase Adjusted EBITDA margin in 2025."

Given these trends, we expect our Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $400 million to $430 million. Our guidance does not include any contributions from unannounced acquisitions.

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