There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Ashley Services Group (ASX:ASH), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Ashley Services Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = AU$5.9m ÷ (AU$92m - AU$49m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, Ashley Services Group has an ROCE of 14%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 17% generated by the Professional Services industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Ashley Services Group
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Ashley Services Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Ashley Services Group has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Ashley Services Group's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Ashley Services Group, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 25%, but since then they've fallen to 14%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Ashley Services Group's current liabilities are still rather high at 53% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
In summary, Ashley Services Group is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 30% in the last five years. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Ashley Services Group does have some risks, we noticed 5 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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