AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited's (HKG:2357) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.4x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 10x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
AviChina Industry & Technology could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for AviChina Industry & Technology
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as AviChina Industry & Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 8.8% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% per annum during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why AviChina Industry & Technology is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of AviChina Industry & Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for AviChina Industry & Technology with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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