Monster Beverage Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Simply Wall St.
03-01

It's been a good week for Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ:MNST) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest full-year results, and the shares gained 3.1% to US$54.65. Revenues of US$7.5b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at US$1.49, missing estimates by 8.1%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Monster Beverage

NasdaqGS:MNST Earnings and Revenue Growth March 1st 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Monster Beverage's 20 analysts is for revenues of US$8.02b in 2025. This would reflect a credible 7.1% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to grow 19% to US$1.85. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$8.00b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.86 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$56.05, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Monster Beverage, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$64.00 and the most bearish at US$40.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Monster Beverage's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 7.1% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 13% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.2% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Monster Beverage is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Monster Beverage. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Monster Beverage analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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