3 Consumer Stocks in the Doghouse

StockStory
03-04
3 Consumer Stocks in the Doghouse

Most consumer discretionary businesses succeed or fail based on the broader economy. Thankfully for the industry, demand trends seem to be healthy as discretionary stocks have gained 4% over the past six months. This performance has nearly mirrored the S&P 500.

Although these companies have produced results lately, investors must be mindful because many are fads and only a few will stand the test of time. On that note, here are three consumer stocks we’re passing on.

Wyndham (WH)

Market Cap: $8.26 billion

Established in 1981, Wyndham (NYSE:WH) is a global hotel franchising company with over 9,000 hotels across nearly 95 countries on six continents.

Why Is WH Not Exciting?

  1. Weak revenue per room over the past two years indicates challenges in maintaining pricing power and occupancy rates
  2. Anticipated sales growth of 6.5% for the next year implies demand will be shaky
  3. Low returns on capital reflect management’s struggle to allocate funds effectively

Wyndham is trading at $106.74 per share, or 22.3x forward price-to-earnings. To fully understand why you should be careful with WH, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Travel + Leisure (TNL)

Market Cap: $3.70 billion

Formerly known as Wyndham Destinations, Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) is a global vacation company that provides travelers with vacation ownership, exchange, and travel services.

Why Do We Think TNL Will Underperform?

  1. Sluggish trends in its tours conducted suggest customers aren’t adopting its solutions as quickly as the company hoped
  2. ROIC of 7.9% reflects management’s challenges in identifying attractive investment opportunities
  3. High net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 8× increases the risk of forced asset sales or dilutive financing if operational performance weakens

At $55.18 per share, Travel + Leisure trades at 8.6x forward price-to-earnings. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including TNL in your portfolio, it’s free.

Playa Hotels & Resorts (PLYA)

Market Cap: $1.64 billion

Sporting a roster of beachfront properties, Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) is an owner, operator, and developer of all-inclusive resorts in prime vacation destinations.

Why Are We Wary of PLYA?

  1. Softer revenue per room over the past two years suggests it might have to invest in new amenities such as restaurants and bars to attract customers
  2. Demand will likely fall over the next 12 months as Wall Street expects flat revenue
  3. Low returns on capital reflect management’s struggle to allocate funds effectively

Playa Hotels & Resorts’s stock price of $13.34 implies a valuation ratio of 26.9x forward price-to-earnings. If you’re considering PLYA for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

The elections are now behind us. With rates dropping and inflation cooling, many analysts expect a breakout market - and we’re zeroing in on the stocks that could benefit immensely.

Take advantage of the rebound by checking out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Comfort Systems (+751% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

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