There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Great Wall Motor (HKG:2333) so let's look a bit deeper.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Great Wall Motor is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = CN¥11b ÷ (CN¥204b - CN¥107b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Great Wall Motor has an ROCE of 12%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 12%.
Check out our latest analysis for Great Wall Motor
In the above chart we have measured Great Wall Motor's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Great Wall Motor .
Great Wall Motor is displaying some positive trends. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 12%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 62% more capital is being employed now too. The increasing returns on a growing amount of capital is common amongst multi-baggers and that's why we're impressed.
For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 52% of the business, which is more than it was five years ago. And with current liabilities at those levels, that's pretty high.
All in all, it's terrific to see that Great Wall Motor is reaping the rewards from prior investments and is growing its capital base. Since the stock has returned a staggering 161% to shareholders over the last five years, it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Great Wall Motor can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.
While Great Wall Motor looks impressive, no company is worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic for 2333 helps visualize whether it is currently trading for a fair price.
While Great Wall Motor isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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