Why Is Barrick Gold (GOLD) the Best Performing Large Cap Stock to Buy According to Analysts?

Insider Monkey
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We recently published a list of 10 Best Performing Large Cap Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) stands against other best performing large cap stocks to buy according to analysts.

Q4 2024 Market Performance Overview

On January 6, Pathstone released its quarterly Flash Report for Q4 2024. The report highlighted several key trends and challenges for the financial markets. It highlighted that despite some volatility towards the end of the quarter in December, the US equity market continued to outperform the international markets, particularly led by the large-cap stocks. Large-cap stocks gained 7.1% during the fourth quarter, driven by strong economic fundamentals, including robust labor market data and high consumer spending during the holiday season. On the other hand, the continued strength of the USD and the persistent inflation led to a decline in other developed markets internationally.

In comparison to the large-cap stocks, small-caps faced significant challenges, experiencing a sharp monthly decline of 8.3% in December, though the sector managed a slight quarterly gain of 0.3%. As per the report, this underperformance was partly due to policy uncertainty and rising long-term yields, which dampened expectations for smaller companies. The fixed-income market also struggled, with long-term Treasury bonds declining by 9.7% for the quarter as the 10-year Treasury yield increased to 4.6%. Moreover, while elaborating on the labor market quarterly performance, the report highlighted that the US labor market demonstrated resilience in November, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 227,000 jobs, surpassing expectations of 200,000. This growth marked a significant recovery from October’s numbers, which were affected by hurricanes and strikes. Although the unemployment rate increased to 4.2%, the labor market showed fundamental strength despite higher interest rates.

One of the key market trends that have helped large-cap growth stocks is the strength of the American consumer market. Consumer spending was exceptionally strong during the holiday season, breaking previous records across both traditional retail and online channels. However, regardless Inflation remains a significant concern as the Consumer Price Index reached 2.7% in November, above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Persistent inflationary pressures are influencing the Fed’s monetary policy approach, leading to a more cautious stance on future rate cuts. Lastly, the report highlights that the economic landscape ahead presents a complex mix of resilience and risk. While the labor market and spending provide a solid foundation to the market persistent inflation, higher interest rates, and policy uncertainty pose potential challenges.

Our Methodology

To curate the list of 10 best-performing large-cap stocks to buy according to analysts, we used the Finviz stock screener to get an aggregated list of stocks. Using the screener we aggregated a list of large-cap stocks that have performed positively over the past year and analysts still see upside potential over the next 12 months. Next, we cross-checked the performance and analyst upside potential of each stock from CNN and ranked these stocks in ascending order of analysts’ upside potential. We have also added the number of hedge funds holding each stock, sourced from Insider Monkey’s Q4 2024 database. Please note that the data was collected on February 28th, 2025.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

A miner examining yellow gold ore in a mine shaft, symbolizing the company's exploration process.

Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD)

1-Year Performance: 24.95%

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 44

Analyst Upside Potential: 23.61%

Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) is a Canadian company that primarily produces gold and copper. The company has mines in several countries, including Argentina, Canada, Chile, and others, producing gold, copper, and sometimes silver.

The company aims to be the best gold and copper producer while focusing on sustainability. During the fiscal fourth quarter of 2024, Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) reported a 15% subsequent increase in gold production with a focus on cost efficiencies. Management noted that the Nevada operations played a crucial role in increased throughput and production. In addition, the company also added significant new gold and copper reserves, including 12.7 million ounces of gold and 13 million tons of copper.

More recently, Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) filed technical reports for two significant projects including the Lumwana copper mine expansion and the Reko Diq project. The Lumwana copper mine expansion is estimated to cost nearly $2 billion, with construction set to begin by the end of 2024 and first production anticipated in 2028. It is the best-performing large-cap stocks to buy according to analysts.

Sound Shore Management stated the following regarding Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:

“For example, global gold and copper miner Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) rose after posting earnings that topped forecasts driven by improved cost performance as well as higher metals prices. We initiated our investment earlier this year when the stock was trading at below normal price to earnings and price to book valuations. The depressed valuation was largely due to long-term issues driven by poor acquisitions and shorter-term inflationary pressures that had been a drag on profitability. Following Barrick’s 2019 merger with Randgold, the latter’s senior management team took the reins and have since streamlined and optimized the company’s once sprawling asset base. Today, Barrick is set to improve operations and drive organic growth which, along with a better price environment, we believe should improve returns on capital. Bolstered by a nearly debt-free balance sheet and strong free cash flows, the company is well positioned to increase dividends, share buybacks and improve its valuation.”

Overall, GOLD ranks 1st on our list of best performing large cap stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of GOLD to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than GOLD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and Complete List of 59 AI Companies Under $2 Billion in Market Cap

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

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