What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. Having said that, after a brief look, Funko (NASDAQ:FNKO) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Funko:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.046 = US$19m ÷ (US$707m - US$306m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Thus, Funko has an ROCE of 4.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Leisure industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for Funko
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Funko compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Funko for free.
We are a bit anxious about the trends of ROCE at Funko. Unfortunately, returns have declined substantially over the last five years to the 4.6% we see today. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 37% over that same period. The combination of lower ROCE and less capital employed can indicate that a business is likely to be facing some competitive headwinds or seeing an erosion to its moat. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
On a side note, Funko's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 43% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 4.6%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. However the stock has delivered a 79% return to shareholders over the last five years, so investors might be expecting the trends to turn around. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
If you're still interested in Funko it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation for FNKO to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.
While Funko isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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