Why Huntington Ingalls Stock Sank in February

Motley Fool
03-05
  • Huntington Ingalls' results underwhelmed, and the company warned it will take time for operational issues to improve.
  • There is a case to be made for patient investors to ride out this storm, but given the challenges Huntington Ingalls faces and emerging potential competitive threats, investors would be better served buying into more diversified contractors.

Shipbuilder Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII -0.22%) missed quarterly estimates and warned that there are no easy fixes to its execution issues. Investors abandoned ship, sending Huntington Ingalls' shares down 11% for the month of February, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Long-term contracts weigh on results

Huntington Ingalls is perhaps the most important U.S. military shipbuilder, owner of the Newport News facility in Virginia that is responsible for the production of aircraft carriers and submarines as well as several shipyards spread across the Gulf Coast. There is steady and stable demand for the company's products, but the military can only buy so many ships at a time, and the ones under contract take years to complete.

Huntington Ingalls earned $3.15 per share on revenue of $3 billion in the fourth quarter, missing Wall Street consensus estimates and reporting sales down 5.7% year over year. The company reported $74 million in negative profit adjustments in the quarter driven by labor and supply chain bottlenecks.

Part of the issue is that many of the ships under construction today were put under contract prior to the pandemic. Labor and raw material costs have skyrocketed in the years since, but efforts by Huntington Ingalls and other contractors to adjust these deals have so far fallen flat in Washington.

With some of these contracts not expected to be completed for years, there is no quick solution to what ails Huntington Ingalls. The company did announce plans to cut about $250 million in gross costs in 2025, but because some of its contracts are "cost plus" -- meaning they have to pass on some of those savings to the government -- the savings will be less than $250 million for Huntington assuming they're achieved.

Is Huntington Ingalls a buy?

In theory, Huntington Ingalls is a stable company with a significant moat. The Pentagon will be buying ships for years to come, and few companies on the planet have the ability to build the giant ships that make up a significant share of Huntington Ingalls' portfolio.

The company is profitable and generates free cash flow. It ended the year with a backlog of $48.7 billion. Given some of the concerns are related to the pandemic, it might be tempting for an investor to buy in now, collect the dividend currently yielding more than 3%, and wait out the storm.

But other dangers lurk on the horizon. Should the U.S. military increasingly favor smaller, uncrewed ships over the giant ships that are Huntington Ingalls' mainstays, there could be opportunities for newcomers to join the shipbuilding fight and break down some of the company's competitive advantage.

And even in the best of times, these massive ships are more of a one-off than a group purchase, making it hard for Huntington Ingalls to retain specialized workers who might only be needed sporadically as ships make their way down the assembly line.

Huntington Ingalls is unlikely to disappear, but there are better, more diversified defense stocks for investors to consider instead of this shipbuilder.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

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