OPKO Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:OPK) just released its latest full-year results and things are looking bullish. Revenues and losses per share were both better than expected, with revenues of US$713m leading estimates by 4.1%. Statutory losses were smaller than the analystsexpected, coming in at US$0.08 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for OPKO Health
After the latest results, the consensus from OPKO Health's six analysts is for revenues of US$682.3m in 2025, which would reflect a discernible 4.3% decline in revenue compared to the last year of performance. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.33 per share. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$684.9m and losses of US$0.32 per share in 2025. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on OPKO Health after the new consensus numbers; while the analysts held their revenue numbers steady, they also administered a moderate increase in per-share loss expectations.
The consensus price target held steady at US$3.99, seemingly implying that the higher forecast losses are not expected to have a long term impact on the company's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic OPKO Health analyst has a price target of US$8.50 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$2.00. We would probably assign less value to the analyst forecasts in this situation, because such a wide range of estimates could imply that the future of this business is difficult to value accurately. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2025 compared to the historical decline of 11% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 7.1% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately OPKO Health is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.
The most important thing to note is the forecast of increased losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at OPKO Health. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$3.99, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on OPKO Health. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for OPKO Health going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for OPKO Health you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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