Vistra (NYSE:VST) Shares Drop 14% Despite US$227M Buyback Program

Simply Wall St.
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Vistra saw its share price drop 14% over the last week, amidst a backdrop of significant corporate and market developments. Recently, Vistra announced a robust earnings report for the year ending December 2024, with increased sales and net income. The company also introduced new earnings guidance for 2025 and updated its buyback program, repurchasing shares worth $227 million. Simultaneously, legal challenges emerged as a lawsuit related to the Moss Landing Battery Plant fire was filed, focusing on alleged safety issues. In broader market trends, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq faced their third consecutive weekly decline, major indexes closed higher on March 7 after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reassured investors about the economy's health. These factors likely contributed to market volatility, affecting Vistra's performance, despite its strong earnings and aggressive buyback strategy, as legal uncertainties and broader market declines overshadowed otherwise positive financial updates.

Click here to discover the nuances of Vistra with our detailed analytical report.

NYSE:VST Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Mar 2025

Over the last five years, Vistra's total shareholder return was very large at 741.11%. During this period, Vistra successfully optimized shareholder value through various strategic initiatives. The company became profitable, achieving earnings growth of 26.5% annually, which reflects well on its long-term financial stability. Over the past year, earnings accelerated significantly, growing by 83.7%, far surpassing the 11.4% growth seen in the Renewable Energy industry. Vistra's share repurchase initiatives have further contributed to enhancing shareholder returns, with a substantial buyback of nearly 160 million shares totaling approximately US$4.74 billion. This underscores the company's commitment to returning value to its investors.

Adding to this momentum, Vistra has seen an improvement in its net profit margins and continues to trade significantly below its estimated fair value, suggesting potential room for market appreciation. Over the past year, Vistra also exceeded both the broader US market and the US Renewable Energy industry in terms of total returns, highlighting its robust performance in a competitive landscape despite challenges like legal issues related to the Moss Landing Battery Plant fire. Such elements have played an integral role in Vistra's long-term success and overall stock performance amidst fluctuating market conditions.

  • Analyze Vistra's fair value against its market price in our detailed valuation report—access it here.
  • Discover the key vulnerabilities in Vistra's business with our detailed risk assessment.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include NYSE:VST.

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