The 12 months have been very difficult for ASX lithium stocks once again.
Over the period, the likes of Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO), IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO), Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR), Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN), and Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) have crashed deep into the red.
Here's a summary of how these shares have performed:
The catalyst for this has been weak lithium prices caused by a combination of oversupply of the white metal, softer than expected demand, and the emergence of low cost lepidolite in China.
This has weighed heavily on the financial performance of lithium miners. So much so, some companies have had to shut mines to conserve cash.
But is the worst over and will lithium prices rebound soon?
Let's look at what analysts at Goldman Sachs are forecasting for three widely used lithium types (lithium carbonate, lithium spodumene, and lithium hydroxide) through to 2028.
In order to give you an understanding of how far lithium prices have fallen, let's start by looking at what lithium prices averaged during 2023 and 2024:
They were as follows:
Now let's have a quick look at the current spot prices of these metals. They are as follows:
Unfortunately for investors in the battery materials space, Goldman Sachs doesn't believe lithium prices will be rebounding to 2023 levels any time soon, if at all.
It is forecasting the following:
Lithium carbonate – China:
Lithium hydroxide – China:
Spodumene 6%:
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