Seafarms Group Limited (ASX:SFG) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 50% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 67% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Seafarms Group may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Food industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Seafarms Group
For example, consider that Seafarms Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Seafarms Group will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Seafarms Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Seafarms Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 23% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.9% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Seafarms Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The southerly movements of Seafarms Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It's no surprise that Seafarms Group maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Seafarms Group that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Seafarms Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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