When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Lifestyle Communities Limited (ASX:LIC) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 19.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Lifestyle Communities' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Lifestyle Communities
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Lifestyle Communities' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 57% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% per year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that Lifestyle Communities is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Lifestyle Communities currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Lifestyle Communities (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Lifestyle Communities' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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