This Lidar Stock Was Left for Dead--Then It Jumped 14% Today

GuruFocus.com
03-22

Luminar Technologies (NASDAQ:LAZR) just flipped the script. After a brutal 12-month stretch where the stock cratered 77%, shares jumped nearly 14% at 11.12am todaythanks to a fourth quarter that blew past expectations. Revenue came in at $22.5 million, beating forecasts by nearly 30%, while adjusted gross profit swung to a $14 million gain versus a projected $12 million loss. Even more telling? Revenue grew 45% quarter-over-quarter, and the company hit major milestones like launching series production with Volvo's EX90the first global vehicle to integrate Luminar's lidar alongside NVIDIA's AI platform.

  • Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with LAZR.

Looking ahead, Luminar isn't slowing down. Management expects to triple production volume in 2025, streamline operations around its next-gen Halo platform, and expand into industrial and auto OEM markets beyond Volvo. New development deals and an expanded partnership with TPK Group point to growing confidence from big players. The Halo shift is more than a tech pivotit's a play for scale, efficiency, and profitability. With the Volvo ES90 set to be the second production model featuring its tech, Luminar's ecosystem is quietly taking shape.

Now, let's talk numbers. 2025 revenue guidance lands around $87 millionwell below the Street's $109 millionbut the market seems willing to look past that. Why? Execution. Vertical integration. Real contracts. Real cars. Luminar's not just another lidar startup selling dreams. It's shipping product, signing OEMs, and building a roadmap that investors can actually follow. If it delivers, this could be the comeback arc long-term investors have been waiting for.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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