It looks like Randstad N.V. (AMS:RAND) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be two business days before the record date, which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Randstad's shares before the 28th of March in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 2nd of April.
The company's next dividend payment will be €1.62 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed €1.62 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Randstad has a trailing yield of 4.0% on the current share price of €40.48. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.
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Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Last year, Randstad paid out 248% of its profit to shareholders in the form of dividends. This is not sustainable behaviour and requires a closer look on behalf of the purchaser. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Randstad paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 113%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.
Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Randstad's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Randstad
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Randstad's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 27% a year over the previous five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.
Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Randstad has delivered an average of 2.3% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Randstad is already paying out 248% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.
Has Randstad got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Not only are earnings per share declining, but Randstad is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. Unless there are grounds to believe a turnaround is imminent, this is one of the least attractive dividend stocks under this analysis. It's not that we think Randstad is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.
Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Randstad. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Randstad you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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