Kraft Heinz's Stock Is as Cheap as It's Been Since 2020. 1 Thing to Know Before You Buy.

Motley Fool
03-31
  • Kraft Heinz shares look very cheap.
  • Patient investors could be getting a steal.
  • But there's one factor to understand before jumping in.

I've been following the Kraft Heinz (KHC 0.56%) story since 2013, when Warren Buffett teamed up with 3G Capital to take H.J. Heinz private. Two years later, they merged the entity with Kraft Foods to create Kraft Heinz. At the time, it looked like a brilliant move, streamlining two blue chip companies with incredible scale and brand power.

But since 2017, shares have fallen nearly 70% in value. According to many valuation metrics, Kraft Heinz stock is a bargain right now. It's rare to buy such a well-known, high-quality business at such a discount. But before you jump in, there's one thing you need to understand.

The factor to understand about Kraft Heinz stock

Kraft Heinz is a combination of two iconic businesses. But that doesn't mean the company is growing. Revenue growth in recent years has been a challenge, fueled by lackluster consumer demand stemming from inflation, increased competition due to direct-to-consumer start-up brands, and private label competition within stores. Put simply, people aren't as willing or able to spend their dollars on the premium branded products that dominate Kraft Heinz's lineup.

KHC Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts.

Profit margins, meanwhile, have remained a bit steadier, but there have been some severe quarterly stumbles due to supply chain issues and a limited ability to pass on higher costs to customers. All in all, the company's price-to-earnings ratio now sits around 13.3 -- hovering around its lowest levels since 2020. On a forward basis -- that is, based on what analysts expect the company to earn next year -- shares trade at just 11 times earnings. That looks very cheap on paper, but there's one issue: Kraft Heinz's revenue growth challenges aren't going away anytime soon, meaning profit margin expansion will be its biggest source of earnings growth over the near term.

This is what you must understand about Kraft Heinz stock today. Yes, shares are cheap, but they're cheap for a reason. High prices and mounting competition aren't going away. This narrows the company's ability to grow, meaning shares aren't nearly as cheap as they first appear.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

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