Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 14% over the last three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Tongcheng Travel Holdings' ROE in this article.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
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ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tongcheng Travel Holdings is:
9.5% = CN¥2.0b ÷ CN¥21b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.09.
See our latest analysis for Tongcheng Travel Holdings
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
At first glance, Tongcheng Travel Holdings' ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 7.1%, is definitely interesting. Even more so after seeing Tongcheng Travel Holdings' exceptional 32% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.
We then performed a comparison between Tongcheng Travel Holdings' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 29% in the same 5-year period.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is 780 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 780 is currently mispriced by the market.
Tongcheng Travel Holdings has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 19%, meaning that it has the remaining 81% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like Tongcheng Travel Holdings is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.
While Tongcheng Travel Holdings has seen growth in its earnings, it only recently started to pay a dividend. It is most likely that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 21%. However, Tongcheng Travel Holdings' ROE is predicted to rise to 14% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.
Overall, we are quite pleased with Tongcheng Travel Holdings' performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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