There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether AleAnna (NASDAQ:ANNA) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
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A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When AleAnna last reported its December 2024 balance sheet in March 2025, it had zero debt and cash worth US$28m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$40m. That means it had a cash runway of around 9 months as of December 2024. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
See our latest analysis for AleAnna
Whilst it's great to see that AleAnna has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$1.4m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. In fact, it ramped its spending strongly over the last year, increasing cash burn by 172%. That sort of spending growth rate can't continue for very long before it causes balance sheet weakness, generally speaking. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how AleAnna is building its business over time.
Given its cash burn trajectory, AleAnna shareholders should already be thinking about how easy it might be for it to raise further cash in the future. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
Since it has a market capitalisation of US$541m, AleAnna's US$40m in cash burn equates to about 7.4% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
On this analysis of AleAnna's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Summing up, we think the AleAnna's cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. On another note, AleAnna has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
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