We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Alcidion Group Limited's (ASX:ALC) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Alcidion Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and licensing of healthcare software products in Australia, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. With the latest financial year loss of AU$8.4m and a trailing-twelve-month loss of AU$5.0m, the AU$99m market-cap company alleviated its loss by moving closer towards its target of breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Alcidion Group's path to profitability – when will it breakeven? In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.
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Consensus from 3 of the Australian Healthcare Services analysts is that Alcidion Group is on the verge of breakeven. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2025, before turning a profit of AU$1.1m in 2026. The company is therefore projected to breakeven just over a year from today. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2026? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 122% year-on-year, on average, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.
Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Alcidion Group's upcoming projects, however, bear in mind that generally healthcare tech companies, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.
View our latest analysis for Alcidion Group
One thing we’d like to point out is that Alcidion Group has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making healthcare tech company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.
There are key fundamentals of Alcidion Group which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Alcidion Group, take a look at Alcidion Group's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of essential factors you should further examine:
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