Li Auto reported strong vehicle deliveries with a 26% increase in March 2025 year-over-year and a 15% increase for the first quarter, yet its share price declined 15% over the last quarter. Despite the company's positive operational performance, broader market dynamics that include significant volatility and economic uncertainties, such as the impact of new tariffs, may have overshadowed these results. Market indices experienced a roughly 12% drop in response to the tariffs, which likely added to Li Auto's share price decline, demonstrating that even robust internal growth can be eclipsed by broader market movements.
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Li Auto's recent updates—despite strong vehicle delivery growth—come amid challenging market conditions, with a share price decline of 15% over the last quarter. This decline is part of a broader market reaction to new tariffs, which have caused major indices to drop and likely influenced investor sentiment negatively. Over a three-year period, the company's total shareholder return, encompassing share price and dividends, showed a 20.62% decline. In contrast, the US Auto industry returned 13.7% over the past year, highlighting a disparity between Li Auto's performance and the broader industry.
The recent news of Li Auto's operational advancements, including investments in autonomous driving and expansion in battery electric vehicles (BEVs), sets a foundation for potential future revenue growth. However, this positive outlook is counterbalanced by current economic challenges that may temper analyst projections. Analysts currently forecast revenue growth of 21.4% annually, driven by technology and product innovations. The news may further refine these projections as the company enhances its NEV market presence through strategic initiatives.
Despite the recent price fluctuations, analysts have set a consensus price target of US$32.73, which implies a 21.6% increase from the current share price of US$25.64. This target reflects confidence in the company's potential to achieve future earnings of CN¥19.3 billion and reach a PE ratio of 18.2x by 2028. Investors may consider this as they evaluate the impact of both internal advancements and external market forces on Li Auto's long-term value.
Assess Li Auto's previous results with our detailed historical performance reports.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include NasdaqGS:LI.
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